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14 February 2013: Berkshire and 3G buy Heinz

Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway teamed up with Brazilian investment firm 3G Capital to buy H.J. Heinz for about $23 billion, a Valentine's Day deal for the ketchup maker. Two years later Heinz merged with Kraft. The combined company eventually took a giant write-down as its brands lost ground to cheaper and trendier rivals. Even Buffett admitted he had overpaid for Kraft. Sauce, it seems, is not a moat forever.

The lesson: Famous brands are not immune to change; even the best investors can overpay for yesterday's favorites.

What it meant for investors

$1,000 in Berkshire Hathaway at the start of 2015 → $3,333 today, vs $3,301 in the S&P 500.

We start the clock at the start of 2015, the first year in our price data after the event. That is 3.3 times the money, and $32.36 more than a plain index fund made over the same years.

What Berkshire Hathaway teaches: Being willing to look foolish during a mania, and keeping cash for the moment others are forced to sell, is a durable source of returns.

Bought inPrice thenWorth todayS&P 500 would be
2015$150$3,333$3,301
2018$198$2,525$2,519
2020$226$2,212$2,092

green = beat the S&P 500 · red = lost money

What if you bought Berkshire Hathaway? Every starting year and the full story →

14 February 2013: Berkshire and 3G buy Heinz